By Jason McIntyre
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
This week’s NFL slate includes a ton of nice matchups, however what caught out to me all through my analysis was once there being 9 house underdogs at the card.
Per FOX Sports Research, those are probably the most house underdog happenrences in Week 3 since 2003.
Let’s have some a laugh and ruin down the 9 circumstances so as of what I feel their chances are to win. In Week 1 we noticed 10 cases of house canines and had success diving in, so let’s run it again. With odds courtesy of FOX Bet, of path.
It’s only a dangerous matchup for the Cardinals (+3.5). Kliff Kingsbury has misplaced six of his seven conferences with Sean McVay, and the Rams have scored 30-plus issues in 5 of the ones video games.
Arizona has been thrashed within the first part this season, 43-7. The Cardinals were given stored via Kyler Murray in opposition to the Raiders, however do not be expecting the ones heroics once more. Murray is terrified of Aaron Donald and threw 4 interceptions within the ultimate two conferences in opposition to the Rams final yr.
I would like to make a case for the Jets (+6), however the matchup is not excellent. Teams have flummoxed Joe Burrow the first two weeks with deep safeties to remove the massive play. The Jets safeties — LaMarcus Joyner and Jordan Whitehead — have graded out 71st and 69th, respectively, via Pro Football Focus, and that is the reason out of 71 safeties.
Can the Jets stay up offensively? Joe Flacco has tried probably the most passes within the NFL via two video games, which in most cases can be an overly dangerous factor, apart from for the emergence of rookie receiver Garrett Wilson. His dynamic talent to get open briefly makes Flacco much less of a legal responsibility within the pocket. I nonetheless do not see this one going down.
The Titans (+1.5) went from the No. 1 seed final yr to enjoying in an removal recreation in Week 3. At 0-2 and with only one landing in 8 quarters, Tennessee would move on lifestyles strengthen if they are able to’t beat the Raiders at house. Las Vegas has been inconsistent, falling in the back of 17-3 to LAC, and blowing a 20-0 lead in opposition to Arizona. The general has long past down from 48 to 45. Expect Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones to have their means with the Titans’ offensive line.
No staff is getting extra love within the AFC presently than Miami (+6). Tua’s MVP odds have skyrocketed; identical with Mike McDaniels’ Coach of the Year odds. But this weekend, they are going to face the most efficient staff within the league, one with an overwhelming line of defense that would crush Miami.
Expect Sean McDermott to are available in with a defensive recreation plan that demanding situations Tyreek Hill and Jayden Waddle on the line of scrimmage, combating the massive play that killed the Ravens.
Are the Panthers (+2.5) excellent? They’ve misplaced two shut video games on box targets from 55-plus yards within the ultimate short while. Now they host a reeling Saints staff that offensively has best seemed excellent for one quarter (the fourth vs. Atlanta).
Jameis Winston’s again damage did not motive him to throw 3 interceptions in the second one part in opposition to the Bucs, however you might have to wonder whether his self belief is a bit of shaken. Last yr in Charlotte, he was once 11-of-22 for 111 yards and two INTs and was once sacked 4 instances in a loss.
The Patriots (+2.5) rebounded from dropping to the Dolphins with an emphatic victory over the Steelers. They now to find themselves as brief house underdogs in opposition to a Ravens staff that can nonetheless be in surprise after blowing a 21-point fourth-quarter lead at house. If the Ravens do not blow that lead, what is the line right here?
Baltimore’s working backs have struggled this season, however most likely budding celebrity JK Dobbins returns after lacking all of final season due to damage.
This must be a low-scoring recreation, and if Belichick takes away Lamar Jackson’s working talent, the Patriots may just pull the disillusioned.
The Colts (+6) have arguably gave the look of the worst staff within the NFL via two weeks, tying the Texans — thank you to a fourth-quarter rally — and getting close out in Jacksonville. But groups coming off a shutout loss are frisky — since 2015, they’re 25-9 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) the next week.
But now you get 2-0 Andy Reid and Pat Mahomes — the pair hasn’t ever misplaced a recreation indoors — with an opportunity to put the nail in Frank Reich’s training tenure. If the Colts would not have their easiest receiver (Michael Pittman) and defender (Shaq Leonard) again from damage, they would possibly not win. Watch the damage document.
The Commanders (+7) wanted a fourth-quarter rally to beat the Jaguars, or they might be 0-2. Detroit averaged 7.0 ypp in the back of Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown and D’Andre Swift and led Washington 22-0 prior to a number of rubbish time issues made the scoring decent.
The Eagles close down Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson Monday evening and are the darlings of the AFC. Still, most likely there is a letdown in opposition to Curtis Samuel (watch the damage document), Jahan Dotson and Terry McLaurin. The actual query is, which Carson Wentz will display up? It’s a revenge spot for the previous Eagles QB.
The 49ers cratered in opposition to the Bears and Justin Fields within the opener, then beaten the Seahawks and Geno Smith in Week 2. The Seahawks have been a couple of days got rid of from winning the Super Bowl (aka beating Russell Wilson), so I do not understand how a lot inventory to put into that gigantic win.
There are nonetheless a ton of questions in regards to the 49ers, beginning with how they might be preferred at the highway in Denver (+1.5). I do know Jimmy G has the revel in, however that may be a big line move.
The Broncos have no longer scored a pink zone landing but; Nathan Hackett has seemed misplaced via two video games. The Broncos are 0-2 ATS, however be expecting a juiced-up crowd at evening in Denver, which must stability out the training mismatch.
Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports making a bet analyst and co-host of The Herd. He additionally writes in regards to the NFL and NBA Draft. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has seemed on each and every display at the community. In 2017, McIntyre started generating playing content material at the NFL, school soccer and NBA for FOX Sports. He had a playing podcast for FOX, “Coming Up Winners,” in 2018 and 2019. Before arriving at FOX, he created the web site The Big Lead, which he bought in 2010.
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